Defense Policy

Defense Policy

The future image of the effects and consequences of the Abraham Accord on the political and security interests of the Islamic Republic of Iran in West Asia

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 Political Geography, Faculty of Geographical Sciences, Khwarazmi University, Tehran, Iran
2 Political geography, geography, kharazmi, Tehran, iran
3 Department of Political Geography/Faculty of Geographical Sciences/Khwarazmi University/Tehran/Iran
4 Future Studies / Faculty of International Studies / Imam Hossein (AS) University / Tehran / Iran
Abstract
The Abraham Accord is the starting point of a fundamental transformation in the regional order of West Asia, which will have a tremendous impact on Iran's political and security interests. Therefore, it is necessary to examine its effects and consequences for the intelligent and desirable construction of the future. The appropriate answer to the central question "the future picture of the effects and consequences of the Abraham Accord on Iran's political and security interests in West Asia" is considered the main goal of the research. The current research is qualitative in terms of methodology. To identify the effects and consequences, the future wheel technique has been used, and in order to increase the validity and accuracy of the processes and findings, the software (MaxQDA) has been used.
The most important first order consequences of this Accord are: The deviation of a number of Arab governments from the Palestinian cause, Intensification of the struggles of Palestinian resistance groups and members of the resistance axis against the Israel and vice versa, dynamics and Reconsideration in Iran's Foreign and Neighborhood Policy, And the growth of the Israel influence and presence in the Persian Gulf region. And the most important second order consequences of this treaty can be considered the return of Palestine to the heart of world events, the intertwining of the interests of the treaty members, the creation of a security environment, keeping the Rimland region dependent, and transforming the Israel into a gateway for the transfer of goods and energy.
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  • Receive Date 11 January 2025
  • Revise Date 26 May 2025
  • Accept Date 27 May 2025