Document Type : Original Article
Authors
1
Professor, Department of Political Science, Allameh Tabatabai University, Tehran, Iran
2
Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Allameh Tabatabaei University, Tehran, Iran
3
Corresponding Author: PhD Student in Political Science, Allameh Tabatabai University, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
The deepening challenge between Saudi Arabia and the Shiite Resistance Front can be considered one of the most important challenges in the Middle East during its post-ISIS era. This issue has manifested itself with the emergence of Muhammad ibn al-Salman and his covert and overt hostility towards the Shiites, especially in cases such as the Yemeni war, conspiracies against the governments of Iraq and Syria, and the escalation of the Cold War against the Islamic Republic of Iran. Has found the Middle East openly at the forefront of security crises. In this article, the authors devote their efforts to designing a strategic model for Muhammad Bin Salman during the defeat of Donald Trump (as one of the most powerful and important supporters of Bin Salman) against the Shiites. The research method is based on exploratory mix (qualitative-quantitative).The statistical population of the present research is based on interviews conducted with professors, elites and researchers in the field of political science, regional studies, international relations and geopolitics. Assessment of the model: A researcher-made questionnaire with relative cluster sampling method was distributed among 60 samples. The validity of the questionnaire was confirmed by face and content method and its reliability was confirmed by Cronbach's alpha method. Data were analyzed by exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis using SPSS and AMOS software. The results of the qualitative section indicate that Bin Salman's strategic model towards the Shiites, especially in the period when Donald Trump lost the second presidential election of the United States, has the following 16 dimensions: Causal conditions (1. Security, 2. Intensification of Espionage Actions, 3. Intensification of Proxy War), Underlying conditions (4. Emphasis on Pan-Arabism, 5. Attempt to form an alliance with Israel, 6. Attempt to form an Arab NATO), Interventional conditions (7. Development of arms deals, 8. Shiismophobia, 9. Extensive psychological warfare), Strategic (10. Improving relations with Qatar, 11. Isolation of the Islamic Republic of Iran, 12. Obtaining Oman's consent to join the Saudis, 13. Attempting to influence Again in Iraq) and the consequences (14. intensification of militarism in the Persian Gulf 15. intensification of insecurity in the Middle East and 16. intensification of Wahhabism-Shiism confrontations). The results of the quantitative section showed that all dimensions of the research paradigm model were confirmed.
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