علل فروپاشی سریع ارتش افغانستان در برابر حملات طالبان

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسنده

دانشیار روابط بین‌الملل، گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه یاسوج، کهگیلویه و بویراحمد، ایران

چکیده

پس از حمله آمریکا به افغانستان، یکی از برنامه‌های اصلی نیروهای ناتو آموزش، تجهیز و ایجاد ارتشی قوی برای مقابله با حملات تروریستی و قدرت‌گیری مجدد طالبان در این کشور بود. سقوط 11 روزه کابل به دست نیروهای طالبان، کارامدی ارتش در این کشور را زیر سؤال برد و این سؤال مهم را مطرح کرد که علت فروپاشی سریع ارتش افغانستان چه بود؟ برای پاسخ به این سؤال، از روش مصاحبهِ عمیقِ نیمه‌ساختاریافته با کارشناسان نظامی ـ سیاسی و اساتید دانشگاه استفاده شد. گزینش مصاحبه‌شوندگان برمبنای روش گلوله برفی انجام و پس از شناسایی عوامل مؤثر و استخراج آن، از مصاحبه‌شوندگان درخواست شد اهمیت و وزن شاخص­های به‌دست‌آمده را مشخص سازند. درنهایت دوازده عامل به‌ترتیب اهمیت تنظیم گردید. در مرحله دوم، عوامل شناسایی‌شده در چهار گروه عوامل اصلی، عوامل فرعی تأثیرگذار، عوامل شتاب‌دهنده و عوامل زمینه‌ساز دسته‌بندی شدند. همچنین برای تبیین بهتر عوامل شناسایی‌شده و افزایش روایی و پایایی آن، از داده‌های میدانی گزارش‌شده توسط فرماندهان نظامی، مقامات سیاسی و محلی افغانستان استفاده شد. یافته‌های پژوهش نشان داد عدم خودباوری ارتش و اتکا به آمریکا، فساد در درون ارتش و ادارات افغانستان و عدم تعلق‌خاطر ارتش به دولت اشرف غنی، بیشترین نقش را در سقوط آن ایفا کرده‌اند.
 

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

The causes of Rapid Collapse of the Afghanistan Army against Taliban Attacks

نویسنده [English]

  • Ali Bagheri Dolatabadi
Associate Professor of International Relations, Department of Political Science, Yasouj University, Kohgiluyeh and Boyerahmad, Iran
چکیده [English]

After the US attack on Afghanistan, one of the main plans of NATO forces was to train, equip and build a robust army to counter terrorist attacks and re-emergence the Taliban in the country. The 11-day fall of Kabul to the Taliban invasion raised number questions about the efficiency of the army in the country including what was the reason for the rapid collapse of the Afghanistan army? To answer the question, semi-structured in-depth interviews with military-political experts and university professors were used. The participants were selected using the snowball sampling technique and after identifying the effective factors, the interviewees were asked to sort the indicators by importance degree. Finally, twelve factors were adjusted in order of importance. In the second stage, the identified factors were classified into four groups: main factors, auxiliary factors, accelerating factors, and contextual factors. The interviews of Afghan military commanders, political and local officials with media were also used to better explain the identified factors and increase their validity and reliability. The findings show that the lack of self-confidence in the military and reliance on the United States, corruption within the Afghanistan army and offices, and the lack of loyalty to the Ashraf Ghani’s Administration have played a main role in its collapse.
 

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Afghanistan Army
  • Taliban
  • Strategy
  • Psychological Warfare
  • the US
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